Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.041189 0.044888 0.048633 0.052704 0.056998 0.061385 0.066199
2025-07-27 0.035389 0.040866 0.046620 0.053090 0.060134 0.067548 0.075915
2025-08-03 0.031445 0.038241 0.045613 0.054144 0.063682 0.073962 0.085819
2025-08-10 0.026430 0.033882 0.042231 0.052166 0.063558 0.076106 0.090868
2025-08-17 0.023167 0.031168 0.040395 0.051648 0.064829 0.079618 0.097302
2025-08-24 0.020439 0.028810 0.038733 0.051114 0.065900 0.082763 0.103216
2025-08-31 0.019149 0.028063 0.038873 0.052609 0.069268 0.088509 0.112105
2025-09-07 0.017816 0.027130 0.038679 0.053611 0.071983 0.093456 0.120053
2025-09-14 0.016484 0.026081 0.038240 0.054230 0.074175 0.097745 0.127212
2025-09-21 0.015107 0.024856 0.037484 0.054369 0.075717 0.101216 0.133379
2025-09-28 0.014407 0.024492 0.037792 0.055821 0.078858 0.106609 0.141860
2025-10-05 0.012996 0.023027 0.036561 0.055216 0.079367 0.108756 0.146401
2025-10-12 0.011913 0.021981 0.035864 0.055306 0.080783 0.112079 0.152473
2025-10-19 0.011185 0.021402 0.035767 0.056162 0.083170 0.116614 0.160060
2025-10-26 0.010666 0.021098 0.036025 0.057480 0.086155 0.121910 0.168619
2025-11-02 0.009193 0.019202 0.033935 0.055526 0.084803 0.121707 0.170332
2025-11-09 0.008283 0.018122 0.032952 0.055036 0.085330 0.123847 0.174945
2025-11-16 0.007446 0.017088 0.031976 0.054502 0.085758 0.125835 0.179353
2025-11-23 0.007212 0.017059 0.032493 0.056074 0.089024 0.131487 0.188415
2025-11-30 0.006867 0.016807 0.032653 0.057125 0.091581 0.136232 0.196350
2025-12-07 0.006453 0.016399 0.032546 0.057774 0.093582 0.140257 0.203383
2025-12-14 0.005959 0.015803 0.032112 0.057921 0.094878 0.143355 0.209237
2025-12-21 0.005788 0.015797 0.032608 0.059435 0.098073 0.148962 0.218338